Sunday, July 05, 2009

Critical Mass, Critical Mess

Click charts to ENLARGE.

Key sectors not encouraging...Bank index (BKX)
________________________________________Broker-Dealers (BKX)
_________________________________________________Housing Index (HGX)
_______________________________________________Insurance Index (IUX)
_____________________________________________________________
Year to date scoreboard:

Crude oil +47%
China H-shares +42%
Gold +5.7%
S&P 500 (with dividends) +0.6%
DXY (dollar index) -1.0%

30-year treasury rate +1.65%
10-year treasury rate +1.29%

US unemployment rate (through June) +2.3% to 9.5%
US savings rate (through June) +2.9% to 6.9%

With employment suffering and consumers retrenching, can anyone think that central planners will be raising rates soon, or that the dollar has an intrinsic reason for gathering strength?

Good trading and great risk management to all.

Educational use only. Never intended as investment advice.

1 comments:

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